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6

Gazelle D'or

4yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 17 · OR 88

Curragh · Hailey Equine Irish European Breeders Fund Brigid's Pastures Stakes (Fillies' Listed) · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

85%

Place Prob

57%

Rank

#1

★ Timeform

Commentary

Won a trio of handicaps at this venue last season and showed improved form when runner-up to subsequent Group 1 winner in 5f listed race at Naas in May. Hasn't reproduced that effort in 3 starts since and can only be watched here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲3
Strength31%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA83 @ Curragh 27/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 83 · 5f Yie 123 · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 83 par27/0983OR 831 @ Curragh 04/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR 89 · 6f Sft 128 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 89 parBHA89 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 89 · 5f Sft 140 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 89 par19/0489OR 891 @ Naas 27/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 88 · 5f Gd 130 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 88 par1 @ Naas 17/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 86 · 5f Goo 130 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 86 par17/051OR 86BHA97 @ Fairyhouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 97 · 6f Goo 134 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 97 par1 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 97 · 5f Yie 128 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 97 par30/081OR 971 @ Curragh 13/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR 94 · 5f Yie 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 94 parBHA92 @ Curragh 26/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 20 · OR 92 · 5f Yie 133 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 92 par26/0992OR 92projClass-projected finish: 10th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26CurraghBHA9213th23th−8
2026-09-13Curragh113th12th+1
2026-08-30Cork14th4th0
2026-06-05FairyhouseBHA972nd13th−9
2026-05-17Naas12nd2nd0
2026-04-27Naas112th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0927/0430/0826/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 7-17 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength15%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
04/10/202512th9/153%35%-0.17
19/04/20267th12/137%33%-0.04
27/04/202612th50/10%21%+0.21
17/05/20262nd40/10%89%+0.89
05/06/20262nd7/282%83%+0.02
30/08/20264th4/179%57%-0.22
13/09/202613th100/10%25%+0.25
26/09/202613th16/116%37%+0.21