13
Institute
3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 5 · OR 77
Curragh · Hailey Equine Irish European Breeders Fund Brigid's Pastures Stakes (Fillies' Listed) · 6f
#16
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 12.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Dundalk | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | ? | 4th | 13th | −7 |
| 2026-05-04 | Curragh | BHA82 | 6th | 15th | −7 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leopardstown | ? | 8th | 17th | −7 |
| 2025-10-31 | Dundalk | ? | 2nd | 11th | −7 |
| 2025-10-12 | Naas | ? | 2nd | 11th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 176% of fieldRange 12-17 · tight 74/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength5%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 16th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 7th | 9/5 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 16/5 | 83% | 93% | +0.10 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 12/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 04/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 55% | -0.09 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |