Luna Mia
3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 8 · OR 78
Curragh · Hailey Equine Irish European Breeders Fund Brigid's Pastures Stakes (Fillies' Listed) · 6f
#12
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 12.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Gowran Park | BHA83 | 7th | 16th | −8 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairyhouse | BHA83 | 4th | 13th | −8 |
| 2025-10-11 | Naas | BHA82 | 2nd | 11th | −7 |
| 2025-09-28 | Curragh | BHA83 | 8th | 17th | −8 |
| 2025-09-18 | Naas | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2025-09-02 | Gowran Park | ? | 2nd | 11th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 15th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 30/07/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 24/08/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 79% | -0.03 |
| 02/09/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 18/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 28/09/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |