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2

Pivotal Attack

3yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 4 · OR 102

Curragh · Hailey Equine Irish European Breeders Fund Brigid's Pastures Stakes (Fillies' Listed) · 6f

#13

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made it 2 from 2 at Galway when winning 7f listed race in July but has been found out upped in grade over longer trips on both starts since. Drops back to 6f for the first time since her debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.5
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 29/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f Yie 12829/07C81 @ Curragh 14/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f Yie 128 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Curragh 28/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 100 · 7f Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/09/2025 · OR 100 par28/091OR 1001 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 102 · 7f42y Yie 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 102 par1 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 102 · 1m Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 102 par24/051OR 1021 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 100 · 1m40y Gd 128 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 100 par1 @ Galway 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 98 · 7f Yie 126 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 98 par30/071OR 981 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 103 · 1m1f Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 103 par1 @ Leopardstown 12/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 102 · 1m Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 102 par12/091OR 102projClass-projected finish: 7th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Leopardstown19th8th+1
2026-08-29Curragh18th8th+0
2026-07-30Galway11st1st0
2026-07-15Killarney14th4th0
2026-05-24Curragh18th7th+1
2026-04-12Leopardstown13rd3rd+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0712/0430/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1750% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 69/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength66%

Delivery trend -4.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/07/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
14/09/20256th25/10%17%+0.17
28/09/20252nd4/179%88%+0.09
12/04/20263rd10/147%83%+0.36
24/05/20268th33/10%30%+0.30
15/07/20264th7/282%67%-0.15
30/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
29/08/20268th6/168%46%-0.22
12/09/20269th80/10%0%0.00