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3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 12 · OR 99

Curragh · Hailey Equine Irish European Breeders Fund Brigid's Pastures Stakes (Fillies' Listed) · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Useful filly who won a 7f handicap at this course in May. Placed on last 2 starts, including when 2½ lengths third of 12 to Magny Cours in Fairy Bridge Stakes at Cork (7f, good to soft, 12/1) 5 weeks ago, with Dancing Saxon second. Drops to sprinting for the first time and has place claims again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength21%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 19/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f111y Gd 12819/08C8C0 @ Curragh 27/09/2025 · Pos 18th of 30 · OR - · 7f Sft 126BHA73 @ Dundalk 17/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 73 · 7f Std 131 · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 73 par17/1073OR 73BHA78 @ Dundalk 27/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 78 · 7f Std 123 · below its mark27/03/2026 · OR 78 parBHA78 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 78 · 7f Gd 130 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 78 par4/0578OR 782 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 30 · OR 83 · 1m GF 117 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 83 par1 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 83 · 1m40y Gd 128 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 83 par15/071OR 831 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 89 · 7f Goo 122 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 89 par1 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 91 · 7f Yie 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 91 par30/081OR 91projClass-projected finish: 1st of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Cork13rd3rd+0
2026-08-14Cork12nd2nd0
2026-07-15Killarney15th5th0
2026-06-19Royal Ascot28th9th−1
2026-05-04CurraghBHA781st9th−7
2026-03-27DundalkBHA784th12th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0827/0315/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1781% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 79/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/08/20252nd7/282%89%+0.07
27/09/202518th150/10%41%+0.41
17/10/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
27/03/20264th9/276%57%-0.19
04/05/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
19/06/20268th33/10%76%+0.76
15/07/20265th12/137%56%+0.19
14/08/20262nd8/158%90%+0.32
30/08/20263rd12/137%82%+0.45