17
Thenandnow
3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 13 · OR 72
Curragh · Hailey Equine Irish European Breeders Fund Brigid's Pastures Stakes (Fillies' Listed) · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲5
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 11.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Fairyhouse | BHA74 | 10th | 18th | −7 |
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | BHA79 | 3rd | 12th | −7 |
| 2026-07-22 | Naas | BHA80 | 5th | 14th | −7 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | BHA79 | 3rd | 12th | −7 |
| 2026-06-20 | Ayr | 1 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Cork | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1756% of fieldRange 10-17 · tight 69/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength8%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 27/09/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 20/06/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |
| 21/09/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |