3
Cool Azul
3yo Gelding · 9-13 · Draw 17 · OR 78
Curragh · Business Plus Handicap · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
79%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: BHA78
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | BHA78 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Curragh | BHA78 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Dundalk | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Curragh | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 2487% of fieldRange 8-24 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 24. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 96% | +0.96 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 93% | +0.06 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 45% | +0.03 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |