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4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 60

Curragh · Business Plus Handicap · 6f

#24

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#24

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Still a maiden after 16 runs but plenty of good efforts this year and probably remains in form, left with far too much to do when tenth of 17 in handicap at Fairyhouse (6f, good) 13 days ago,

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA72 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 72 · 6f Hvy 135 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 72 par15/0372OR 72BHA71 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 21 · OR 71 · 6f Sft 141 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 71 parBHA70 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 70 · 7f Gd 140 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 70 par4/0570OR 70BHA68 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 68 · 7f94y Goo 138 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 68 parBHA64 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 64 · 1m Goo 134 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 64 par18/0664OR 64C7 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 63 · 1m40y Gd 142 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 63 parBHA63 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 63 · 1m20y Goo 133 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 63 par27/0863OR 63BHA61 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR 61 · 1m Goo 132 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 61 parBHA61 @ Fairyhouse 21/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR 61 · 6f Goo 131 · below its mark21/09/2026 · OR 61 par21/0961OR 61projClass-projected finish: 13th of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21FairyhouseBHA6110th10th0
2026-09-09CorkBHA616th6th0
2026-08-27NavanBHA634th4th0
2026-07-15Killarney?3rd3rd0
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA6410th10th0
2026-05-18RoscommonBHA689th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0318/0527/0821/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish24th of 240% of fieldRange 17-24 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 24th of 24. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/20267th14/126%45%+0.19
19/04/20267th20/10%70%+0.70
04/05/20266th9/153%64%+0.12
18/05/20269th14/126%43%+0.17
18/06/202610th8/158%40%-0.18
15/07/20263rd14/126%85%+0.58
27/08/20264th4/179%75%-0.04
09/09/20266th8/158%71%+0.13
21/09/202610th9/153%44%-0.09