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22

Green Kite

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 23 · OR 61

Curragh · Business Plus Handicap · 6f

#22

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#22

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to win but several good efforts this season, including when second at Leopardstown in June. Solid efforts when fourth at Cork and fifth at Listowel last month and has a 24-hour turnaround as a valid excuse for his latest outing.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: BHA60
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 06/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m30y Sft 1346/10C8BHA69 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 69 · 7f Hvy 139 · below its mark20/10/2025 · OR 69 parBHA66 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 66 · 1m50y Yie 136 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 66 par25/0466OR 66C7 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 65 · 7f Goo 134 · below its mark20/05/2026 · OR 65 parBHA61 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 61 · 7f35y Sft 131 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 61 par11/0661OR 61BHA64 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 64 · 7f Goo 134 · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 64 parBHA60 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 22 · OR 60 · 7f Goo 142 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 60 par9/0960OR 60BHA62 @ Listowel 21/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 62 · 1m Yie 132 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 62 parBHA62 @ Listowel 22/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 62 · 7f15y Yie 125 · below its mark22/09/2026 · OR 62 par22/0962OR 62projClass-projected finish: 14th of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22ListowelBHA628th8th0
2026-09-21ListowelBHA625th5th0
2026-09-09CorkBHA604th4th0
2026-07-08FairyhouseBHA6411th11th0
2026-06-11LeopardstownBHA612nd2nd0
2026-05-20Gowran Park?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1020/059/0922/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish22nd of 249% of fieldRange 22-24 · tight 87/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 22nd of 24. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/10/20252nd25/10%86%+0.86
20/10/202513th16/116%20%+0.04
25/04/20268th25/10%50%+0.50
20/05/20264th20/10%50%+0.50
11/06/20262nd12/137%91%+0.54
08/07/202611th11/142%29%-0.14
09/09/20264th15/261%86%+0.25
21/09/20265th5/174%71%-0.02
22/09/20268th8/158%30%-0.28