19

Mint Man
5yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 9 · OR 67
Curragh · Business Plus Handicap · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA71 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | BHA72 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | BHA66 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Naas | BHA68 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Navan | BHA69 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | BHA69 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 2439% of fieldRange 17-24 · tight 76/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 15th of 24.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 11/04/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 22% | -0.44 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 42% | -0.29 |
| 07/06/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.13 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 22/08/2026 | 19th | 17/2 | 55% | 31% | -0.24 |
| 02/09/2026 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |