19

Mint Man

5yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 9 · OR 67

Curragh · Business Plus Handicap · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fitted with a visor when getting off the mark for the year at C&D in August. Went off too hard here next time but fewer excuses when down the field at Navan since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA74 @ Dundalk 06/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 74 · 6f Std 144 · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 74 par6/0374OR 74BHA72 @ Bellewstown 11/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 72 · 5f3y Sft 132 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 72 parBHA70 @ Naas 09/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 70 · 5f Gd 140 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 70 par9/0570OR 70BHA69 @ Listowel 31/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 69 · 6f60y Goo 129 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 69 parBHA69 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 21 · OR 69 · 5f Goo 139 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 69 par7/0669OR 69BHA68 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 68 · 5f205y Goo 128 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 68 parBHA66 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 66 · 6f GF 126 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 66 par9/0866OR 66BHA72 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 19th of 27 · OR 72 · 6f Goo 142 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 72 parBHA71 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 71 · 5f Goo 131 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 71 par2/0971OR 71projClass-projected finish: 19th of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02NavanBHA7113th13th0
2026-08-22CurraghBHA7219th19th0
2026-08-09CurraghBHA661st1st0
2026-07-22NaasBHA683rd3rd0
2026-06-07NavanBHA6910th10th0
2026-05-31ListowelBHA698th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0331/059/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 2439% of fieldRange 17-24 · tight 76/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 15th of 24.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20267th12/137%40%+0.03
11/04/20268th13/266%22%-0.44
09/05/20264th7/282%80%-0.02
31/05/20268th11/271%42%-0.29
07/06/202610th11/142%55%+0.13
22/07/20263rd7/163%78%+0.15
09/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
22/08/202619th17/255%31%-0.24
02/09/202613th12/137%20%-0.17