2
Real Force
9yo Gelding · 10-0 · Draw 21 · OR 78
Curragh · Business Plus Handicap · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Curragh | BHA85 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Curragh | BHA86 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Curragh | BHA89 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Curragh | BHA96 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-03-30 | Cork | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-03-18 | Curragh | BHA89 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 2457% of fieldRange 10-24 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength8%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 24. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2023 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 53% | +0.16 |
| 04/10/2023 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 05/11/2023 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 18/03/2024 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 30/03/2024 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 29/03/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 02/11/2025 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 15% | -0.40 |
| 15/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 19/04/2026 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 19% | +0.03 |