24
Tawaazon
8yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 24 · OR 50
Curragh · Business Plus Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Newcastle | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | BHA56 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Naas | BHA57 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Naas | BHA58 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | BHA60 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Naas | BHA60 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 2461% of fieldRange 17-24 · tight 76/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 24. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 95% | +0.95 |
| 01/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 53% | +0.16 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 79% | +0.15 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 19/09/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.49 |