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21

Venetian Star

3yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 7 · OR 64

Curragh · Business Plus Handicap · 6f

#23

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#23

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Still a maiden and proving hard to catch right, but wasn't disgraced when fifth of 14 in handicap at Down Royal (7f, good to soft, 17/2) 6 days ago. Drop back to a sprint trip doesn't look an obvious positive, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA67
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA74 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 74 · 1m Sft 135 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 74 par3/0574OR 74BHA72 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 72 · 7f Gd 140 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 72 parBHA73 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 73 · 6f Goo 133 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 73 par12/0673OR 73BHA72 @ Limerick 19/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 72 · 7f Sft 133 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 72 parBHA74 @ Leopardstown 09/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 74 · 7f50y Goo 127 · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 74 par9/0774OR 74BHA74 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 74 · 7f111y Goo 128 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 74 parBHA73 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 73 · 7f Yie 133 · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 73 par1/0973OR 73BHA68 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 17th of 22 · OR 68 · 6f Goo 128 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 68 parBHA67 @ Down Royal 28/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 67 · 7f26y Goo 134 · beat its mark28/09/2026 · OR 67 par28/0967OR 67projClass-projected finish: 17th of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-28Down RoyalBHA675th5th0
2026-09-09CorkBHA6817th17th0
2026-09-01Gowran ParkBHA735th5th0
2026-08-18RoscommonBHA7411th11th0
2026-07-09LeopardstownBHA7410th10th0
2026-06-19LimerickBHA722nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0519/061/0928/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish23rd of 244% of fieldRange 18-24 · tight 78/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 23rd of 24.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20263rd17/255%71%+0.16
28/05/20263rd7/282%83%+0.02
12/06/202610th8/158%18%-0.40
19/06/20262nd15/261%80%+0.19
09/07/202610th15/261%0%-0.61
18/08/202611th33/10%23%+0.23
01/09/20265th7/282%60%-0.22
09/09/202617th10/147%24%-0.24
28/09/20265th17/255%69%+0.14