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4

Sinbad My Dad

5yo Gelding · 11-2 · Draw 1 · OR 75

Curragh · Holden Plant Rentals Lady Riders Classic (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 4f

#8

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bounced back to form in first-time blinkers to win 9-runner handicap at Clonmel (1¼m, good, 9/2) 18 days ago by 2½ lengths from Lough Leane. May find things harder from a 7 lb higher mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: BHA65
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA71 @ Dundalk 03/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 71 · 1m2f150y Std 131 · below its mark03/12/2025 · OR 71 par3/1271OR 71BHA71 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 71 · 1m4f Std 131 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 71 parBHA71 @ Dundalk 23/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 71 · 1m4f Std 141 · below its mark23/01/2026 · OR 71 par23/0171OR 71BHA70 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 70 · 1m2f63y Goo 130 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 70 parBHA70 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 70 · 1m2f Goo 130 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 70 par16/0770OR 70BHA69 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 22 · OR 69 · 1m1f Goo 139 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 69 parBHA69 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 69 · 1m3f Goo 139 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 69 par23/0869OR 69BHA68 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 68 · 1m2f145y Goo 139 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 68 parBHA68 @ Clonmel 16/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 68 · 1m1f168y Yie 129 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 68 par16/0968OR 68projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16ClonmelBHA681st1st0
2026-09-04Down RoyalBHA688th8th0
2026-08-23NaasBHA692nd2nd0
2026-08-06LeopardstownBHA699th9th0
2026-07-16LeopardstownBHA704th4th0
2026-06-30RoscommonBHA706th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1230/0623/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/12/20253rd7/163%82%+0.19
09/01/20269th14/126%27%+0.01
23/01/20268th10/147%36%-0.11
30/06/20266th28/10%58%+0.58
16/07/20264th10/147%63%+0.15
06/08/20269th7/163%62%-0.01
23/08/20262nd11/142%93%+0.51
04/09/20268th15/261%46%-0.14
16/09/20261st9/276%100%+0.24