5
Whimsy
7yo Mare · 11-2 · Draw 7 · OR 75
Curragh · Holden Plant Rentals Lady Riders Classic (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 4f
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
47%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA77 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Punchestown | BHA122 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Musselburgh | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gowran Park | BHA76 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Leopardstown | BHA123 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-01 | Leopardstown | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 6-14 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 17/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 01/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 01/05/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 02/09/2026 | 14th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.39 |