5
Blue Blue Moon
3yo Filly · 9-11 · Draw 8 · OR 80
Curragh · 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Leopardstown | BHA80 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA74 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Limerick | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Curragh | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Naas | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 30/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 12/09/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 35% | -0.12 |