6
Cherry Hill Girl
3yo Filly · 9-10 · Draw 5 · OR 79
Curragh · 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: BHA79
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | BHA79 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | BHA81 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leopardstown | BHA83 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Naas | BHA84 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Leopardstown | BHA83 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Listowel | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 81/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +10.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 09/09/2025 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 17% | -0.75 |
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 22/03/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 01/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |