1
Flanker Jet
3yo Gelding · 10-1 · Draw 2 · OR 84
Curragh · 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Naas | BHA88 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Dundalk | BHA81 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Dundalk | BHA81 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Dundalk | BHA81 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Dundalk | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Dundalk | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 82/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/07/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 09/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 85% | -0.07 |
| 23/01/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |