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15

Loingseoir

10yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 11 · OR 63

Curragh · 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Mainly in good form without winning this season but his form has dipped of late, just twelfth of 18 in handicap at Fairyhouse (7f, good) 13 days ago. Took this contest in both 2021 and 2022 however so can't be dismissed off a handy-looking mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA73 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 17 · OR 73 · 7f Sft 133 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 73 par19/0473OR 73BHA73 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 73 · 1m50y Yie 143 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 73 parBHA70 @ Leopardstown 04/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 70 · 7f20y Sft 122 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 70 par4/0670OR 70BHA70 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 70 · 7f35y Sft 140 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 70 parBHA70 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 70 · 7f Goo 140 · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 70 par8/0770OR 70BHA69 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 69 · 1m1f135y Goo 140 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 69 parBHA68 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR 68 · 1m123y Yie 138 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 68 par28/0768OR 68BHA67 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 67 · 7f Sft 137 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 67 parBHA66 @ Fairyhouse 21/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR 66 · 7f Goo 137 · below its mark21/09/2026 · OR 66 par21/0966OR 66projClass-projected finish: 8th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21FairyhouseBHA6612th12th0
2026-09-08GalwayBHA678th8th0
2026-07-28GalwayBHA683rd3rd0
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA694th4th0
2026-07-08FairyhouseBHA706th6th0
2026-06-11LeopardstownBHA704th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0411/0628/0721/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 10-16 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength3%

Delivery trend -5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/20269th66/10%50%+0.50
25/04/20267th14/126%54%+0.28
04/06/20264th14/126%67%+0.40
11/06/20264th12/137%73%+0.36
08/07/20266th16/116%64%+0.48
20/07/20264th10/147%73%+0.25
28/07/20263rd11/142%88%+0.45
08/09/20268th10/382%30%-0.52
21/09/202612th25/10%35%+0.35