16
Montevetro
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 15 · OR 62
Curragh · 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap · 1m
#14
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Listowel | BHA68 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Ballinrobe | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Chelmsford City | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 4-16 · tight 42/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength29%
Delivery trend +10.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 24/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 33% | -0.60 |
| 22/08/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 11/09/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 21/09/2026 | 15th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |