2
Pretty Omagh Girl
4yo Filly · 9-13 · Draw 6 · OR 79
Curragh · 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Gowran Park | BHA83 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Curragh | BHA82 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | BHA72 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Dundalk | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Dundalk | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-27 | Curragh | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 16-16 · tight 87/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -27.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 19/12/2025 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 28/06/2026 | 12th | 9/2 | 76% | 8% | -0.68 |
| 12/08/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |