3

Spacebound

4yo Gelding · 9-13 · Draw 7 · OR 79

Curragh · 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap · 1m

#12

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped well when runner-up over 7f on his first 2 outings. Has failed to kick on but not totally disgraced on handicap debut with fifth of 17 in handicap at this course (7f, good to firm) in June. Needs to build on it after a break.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 23/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 7f Std 13523/01C8C8 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 7f Sft 14728/03C8C8 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m50y Yie 13525/04C8BHA83 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR 83 · 7f Gd 133 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 83 par26/0683OR 83projClass-projected finish: 1st of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-26CurraghBHA835th5th0
2026-04-25Limerick?4th4th0
2026-03-28Curragh?2nd2nd0
2026-01-23Dundalk?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0128/0325/0426/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 2-14 · tight 41/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength53%

Delivery trend -9.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/01/20262nd5/174%92%+0.19
28/03/20262nd9/153%92%+0.39
25/04/20264th11/1094%79%-0.16
26/06/20265th6/168%75%+0.07