IvyArcIvyArc
4

Terre De Vega

5yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 3 · OR 78

Curragh · 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced 5-y-o. Good second on yard debut in 1m Leopardstown handicap last October. Has offered little in a trio of runs this season though, blinkers added to usual hood when sixteenth of 17 in handicap at Galway in July.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 05/10/2023 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f100y GS 1285/10C5C1 @ Toulouse 11/11/2023 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 1255 @ Hamilton 18/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m68y Gd 13718/0751 @ Goodwood 25/09/2024 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 89 · 1m1f197y Hvy 125 · beat its mark25/09/2024 · OR 89 parBHA87 @ Leopardstown 19/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 87 · 1m Hvy 140 · below its mark19/10/2025 · OR 87 par19/1087OR 87BHA92 @ Curragh 02/11/2025 · Pos 22nd of 23 · OR 92 · 1m Hvy 137 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 92 par1 @ Naas 22/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 89 · 1m2f125y Sft 133 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 89 par22/031OR 89BHA88 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 88 · 1m1f100y Yie 139 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 88 parBHA85 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 17 · OR 85 · 1m123y Yie 122 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 85 par28/0785OR 85projClass-projected finish: 16th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28GalwayBHA8516th16th0
2026-06-12Gowran ParkBHA884th4th0
2026-03-22Naas18th8th0
2025-11-02CurraghBHA9222th22th0
2025-10-19LeopardstownBHA872nd2nd0
2024-09-25Goodwood18th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1025/0922/0328/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 10-16 · tight 72/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength5%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/10/20231st7/282%100%+0.18
11/11/20235th11/142%50%+0.08
18/07/20242nd4/179%83%+0.04
25/09/20248th20/10%13%+0.13
19/10/20252nd22/10%86%+0.86
02/11/202522nd16/116%5%-0.11
22/03/20268th100/10%0%0.00
12/06/20264th40/10%0%0.00
28/07/202616th80/10%6%+0.06