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4

Bella Jak

3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 70

Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 26/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 58 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 58 par26/03C8OR 58C8 @ Gulfstream 10/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 57 · 5f Gd 120 · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 57 parC8 @ Gulfstream 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 60 · 5f110y 120 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 60 par2/05C8OR 60C8 @ Gulfstream 30/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 59 · 1m110y Fas 120 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 59 parC8 @ Gulfstream 14/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 59 · 5f110y 120 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 59 par14/06C8OR 59C8 @ Gulfstream 28/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 58 · 5f110y Fas 121 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 58 parC8 @ Gulfstream 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 60 · 5f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 60 par27/07C8OR 60C8 @ Gulfstream 17/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 64 · 5f Fas 122 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 64 parC8 @ Gulfstream 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 67 · 5f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 67 par5/09C8OR 67projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-08-17Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-07-27Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2026-06-28Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2026-06-14Gulfstream?4th4th0
2026-05-30Gulfstream?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0330/0527/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 84/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/03/20267th14/126%25%-0.01
10/04/20266th33/10%38%+0.38
02/05/20266th40/10%44%+0.44
30/05/20267th25/10%0%0.00
14/06/20264th33/10%57%+0.57
28/06/20263rd20/10%71%+0.71
27/07/20263rd20/10%78%+0.78
17/08/20262nd14/126%88%+0.61
05/09/20261st4/179%100%+0.21