5
Dame's Rocket
4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 5 · OR 72
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 84/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 55% | -0.11 |
| 25/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 19/12/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 15/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |