3
Little Town Street
4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 3 · OR 77
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 34/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength68%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 21/12/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 07/02/2026 | 6th | 1/1 | 95% | 17% | -0.78 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 33% | -0.60 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |