3
Hendrickson
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 3 · OR 67
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-01-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength26%
Delivery trend +8.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2024 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 10/11/2024 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 18% | -0.40 |
| 27/12/2024 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 17/01/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 25/07/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 19/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 03/01/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 31/01/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |