8

Eamonn

8yo Horse · 8-9 · Draw 8 · OR 93

Gulfstream · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength59%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Gulfstream 24/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 92 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/01/2026 · OR 92 par24/01C5OR 92C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 22/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 94 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/02/2026 · OR 94 parC5 @ Gulfstream 07/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 93 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 93 par7/03C5OR 93C5 @ Laurel Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 96 · 5f110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 96 parC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 29/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 100 · 5f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/04/2026 · OR 100 par29/04C6OR 100C6 @ Gulfstream 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 92 · 5f110y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 92 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 98 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 98 par3/07C5OR 98C6 @ Colonial Downs 02/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 94 · 1m Yie 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 94 parC6 @ Kentucky Downs 06/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 97 · 6f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 97 par6/09C6OR 97projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Kentucky Downs?10th9th+1
2026-08-02Colonial Downs?5th4th+1
2026-07-03Presque Isle Downs?4th2nd+2
2026-06-05Gulfstream?3rd2nd+1
2026-04-29Tampa Bay Downs?4th3rd+1
2026-04-18Laurel Park?9th7th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0118/043/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength50%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/01/20269th50/10%20%+0.20
22/02/20265th14/126%43%+0.17
07/03/20263rd33/10%67%+0.67
18/04/20269th25/10%33%+0.33
29/04/20264th15/261%25%-0.36
05/06/20263rd12/137%60%+0.23
03/07/20264th16/116%50%+0.34
02/08/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
06/09/202610th25/10%10%+0.10