9
Fulanito
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 9 · OR 103
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 19/04/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 22/05/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 11/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 01/01/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |