Giant Teddy
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 5 · OR 102
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 5 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |