Test Factor
5yo Horse · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 96
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 17/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 04/01/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 07/02/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |