White Bullet

3yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 4 · OR 100

Gulfstream · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ RUNS TO MARK

Move▬

Strength27%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: -0.2

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-12	Gulfstream	?	2nd	3rd	−1	6.8
2026-08-16	Gulfstream	?	3rd	4th	−1	5.8
2025-09-27	Gulfstream	?	5th	4th	+1	5.6
2025-08-16	Gulfstream	?	2nd	1st	+1	8.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · tight 77/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -25.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
16/08/2025	2nd	25/1	0%	86%	+0.86
27/09/2025	5th	14/1	26%	43%	+0.17
16/08/2026	3rd	6/1	68%	71%	+0.03
12/09/2026	2nd	5/1	74%	80%	+0.06