2
Xy Speed
10yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 2 · OR 100
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-9 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 04/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |