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5

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4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 5 · OR 62

Gulfstream · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 24/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f Fas 11924/12C6C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 03/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 59 · 6f 122 · below its mark03/01/2026 · OR 59 parC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 01/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 49 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark01/02/2026 · OR 49 par1/02C6OR 49C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 28/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 57 · 7f Gd 122 · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 57 parC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 24/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 55 · 1m Fm 125 · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 55 par24/04C9OR 55C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 60 · 5f Fm 125 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 60 parC6 @ Gulfstream 27/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 56 · 1m Fas 120 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 56 par27/07C6OR 56C6 @ Gulfstream 10/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 60 · 7f Fas 124 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 60 parC6 @ Gulfstream 05/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 62 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 62 par5/09C6OR 62projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Gulfstream?4th4th0
2026-08-10Gulfstream?4th4th0
2026-07-27Gulfstream?4th4th0
2026-05-02Tampa Bay Downs?5th8th−3
2026-04-24Tampa Bay Downs?4th7th−3
2026-02-28Tampa Bay Downs?4th7th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1228/0227/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength35%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/12/20256th40/10%29%+0.29
03/01/20267th40/10%14%+0.14
01/02/202610th50/10%0%0.00
28/02/20264th10/147%50%+0.03
24/04/20264th25/10%63%+0.63
02/05/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
27/07/20264th16/116%25%+0.09
10/08/20264th25/10%40%+0.40
05/09/20264th10/147%25%-0.22