2
Bon Vivant
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 68
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 11/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 14/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 23/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |