4
Lady Rockula
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 73
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
75%
Place Prob
53%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength75%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 29/01/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 19/02/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |