5
Etendre
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 72
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 48/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength30%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 20% | -0.69 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 29% | -0.54 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |