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3

Amande

4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 84

Gulfstream · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

79%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 08/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS8/01C6C9 @ Gulfstream 06/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 81 · 1m Fm 118 · beat its mark06/02/2025 · OR 81 parC8 @ Gulfstream 09/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 83 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 83 par9/01C8OR 83C7 @ Gulfstream 12/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 89 · 5f110y 121 · below its mark12/02/2026 · OR 89 parC8 @ Gulfstream 15/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 80 · 5f Fas 126 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 80 par15/03C8OR 80C8 @ Gulfstream 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 80 · 5f110y Fas 126 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Gulfstream 28/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 78 · 5f 126 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 78 par28/06C8OR 78C8 @ Gulfstream 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 81 · 5f110y 126 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 81 parC8 @ Gulfstream 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 83 · 5f110y 123 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 83 par31/08C8OR 83projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Gulfstream?1st2nd−1
2026-07-26Gulfstream?1st2nd−1
2026-06-28Gulfstream?2nd3rd−1
2026-06-05Gulfstream?2nd3rd−1
2026-03-15Gulfstream?2nd3rd−1
2026-02-12Gulfstream?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0112/0228/0631/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 76/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength91%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/01/20254th11/271%50%-0.21
06/02/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
09/01/20262nd4/179%83%+0.04
12/02/20267th5/174%14%-0.59
15/03/20262nd3/184%80%-0.04
05/06/20262nd11/486%88%+0.02
28/06/20262nd3/184%83%-0.01
26/07/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
31/08/20261st4/596%100%+0.04