Boot's On The Moon
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 91
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 18/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |