3
Just Asap
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 3 · OR 91
Keeneland · Race 1 - Starter Allowance · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Ellis Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 30/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 04/10/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 09/07/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.34 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |