6

Keep On Moving
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 95
Keeneland · Race 1 - Starter Allowance · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength22%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 07/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/02/2026 | 5th | 10/11 | 95% | 0% | -0.95 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 71% | -0.22 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 30% | -0.36 |