6

Keep On Moving

4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 95

Keeneland · Race 1 - Starter Allowance · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Gulfstream 08/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 1m Fas 1188/11C?C6 @ Gulfstream 07/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 92 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 92 parC5 @ Gulfstream 17/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 95 · 6f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/01/2026 · OR 95 par17/01C5OR 95C8 @ Gulfstream 19/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 88 · 7f Fas 123 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 88 parC8 @ Gulfstream 26/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 89 · 7f Fas 123 · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 89 par26/03C8OR 89C8 @ Churchill Downs 30/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 86 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark30/04/2026 · OR 86 parC7 @ Churchill Downs 21/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 92 · 7f Gd 123 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 92 par21/05C7OR 92C8 @ Churchill Downs 24/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 95 · 7f 123 · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 95 parC7 @ Churchill Downs 11/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 99 · 6f Gd 121 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 99 par11/09C7OR 99projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Churchill Downs?8th8th0
2026-06-24Churchill Downs?6th7th−1
2026-05-21Churchill Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-04-30Churchill Downs?2nd3rd−1
2026-03-26Gulfstream?4th5th−1
2026-02-19Gulfstream?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1119/0221/0511/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength22%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/20255th8/158%0%-0.58
07/12/20257th33/10%14%+0.14
17/01/20264th25/10%40%+0.40
19/02/20265th10/1195%0%-0.95
26/03/20264th7/163%50%-0.13
30/04/20262nd12/137%83%+0.46
21/05/20263rd5/493%71%-0.22
24/06/20266th9/276%29%-0.48
11/09/20268th13/266%30%-0.36