Lil Trick
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 75
Keeneland · Race 1 - Starter Allowance · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-09-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -14.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 13/12/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/04/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |