3

Bedeviled

3yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 3 · OR 82

Keeneland · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Ellis Park 04/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 69 · 1m110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/08/2025 · OR 69 par4/08C6OR 69C6 @ Kentucky Downs 28/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 70 · 1m 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/08/2025 · OR 70 parC6 @ Churchill Downs 14/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 69 · 1m110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/09/2025 · OR 69 par14/09C6OR 69C6 @ Oaklawn Park 13/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 68 · 1m110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/12/2025 · OR 68 parC6 @ Oaklawn Park 06/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 74 · 1m110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 74 par6/02C6OR 74C6 @ Oaklawn Park 28/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m1f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 76 parC6 @ Oaklawn Park 23/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 81 · 1m 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/04/2026 · OR 81 par23/04C6OR 81C9 @ Churchill Downs 21/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 82 · 1m Fas 118 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 82 parC9 @ Saratoga 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 81 · 1m 121 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 81 par14/08C9OR 81projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Saratoga?5th5th0
2026-06-21Churchill Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-04-23Oaklawn Park?7th4th+3
2026-03-28Oaklawn Park?6th3rd+3
2026-02-06Oaklawn Park?7th4th+3
2025-12-13Oaklawn Park?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0813/1223/0414/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/08/20256th12/137%29%-0.08
28/08/20255th13/266%60%-0.06
14/09/20255th16/116%43%+0.27
13/12/20255th16/116%64%+0.48
06/02/20267th20/10%40%+0.40
28/03/20266th33/10%38%+0.38
23/04/20267th16/116%25%+0.09
21/06/20262nd25/10%90%+0.90
14/08/20265th10/147%43%-0.05