6
El Ramundo
3yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 6 · OR 78
Keeneland · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +33.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |