1

Get Them Roses

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 86

Keeneland · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼3
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fair Grounds 17/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS17/01C6C6 @ Fair Grounds 14/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 87 par14/02C6OR 87C6 @ Fair Grounds 21/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 82 par21/03C6OR 82C6 @ Churchill Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 89 par2/05C6OR 89C6 @ Ellis Park 01/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 87 · 1m1f Slo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 87 par1/08C6OR 87projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Ellis Park?7th4th+3
2026-05-02Churchill Downs?8th5th+3
2026-03-21Fair Grounds?4th1st+3
2026-02-14Fair Grounds?6th3rd+3
2026-01-17Fair Grounds?7th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0114/0221/032/051/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 60/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength53%

Delivery trend -14.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/01/20267th20/10%40%+0.40
14/02/20266th12/137%50%+0.13
21/03/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
02/05/20268th14/126%0%-0.26
01/08/20267th14/126%14%-0.12