8
Maginnesontap
3yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 8 · OR 93
Keeneland · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
82%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼3
Strength70%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 5 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-09 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-01-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-12-22 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-09-04 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 76/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 04/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 91% | -0.04 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 91% | -0.01 |
| 22/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 18/01/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 91% | +0.01 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |