6

City Of Life

4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 88

Keeneland · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Churchill Downs 29/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 81 · 6f 120 · below its mark29/10/2025 · OR 81 par29/10C9OR 81C9 @ Churchill Downs 23/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 81 · 6f 122 · below its mark23/11/2025 · OR 81 parC6 @ Turfway Park 19/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 86 · 1m110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/12/2025 · OR 86 par19/12C6OR 86C6 @ Turfway Park 17/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 87 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/01/2026 · OR 87 parC6 @ Turfway Park 14/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 84 · 6f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 84 par14/02C6OR 84C6 @ Turfway Park 26/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 85 · 6f110y 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 85 parC9 @ Keeneland 24/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 86 · 6f 125 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 86 par24/04C9OR 86C9 @ Churchill Downs 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 86 · 6f 124 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 86 parC9 @ Ellis Park 01/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 82 · 6f110y Slo 124 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 82 par1/08C9OR 82projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Ellis Park?1st2nd−1
2026-06-11Churchill Downs?6th7th−1
2026-04-24Keeneland?2nd3rd−1
2026-03-26Turfway Park?4th2nd+2
2026-02-14Turfway Park?6th4th+2
2026-01-17Turfway Park?3rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1017/0124/041/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 64/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -7.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/10/20253rd25/10%78%+0.78
23/11/20252nd12/137%89%+0.52
19/12/202511th25/10%0%0.00
17/01/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56
14/02/20266th10/147%38%-0.10
26/03/20264th6/168%73%+0.04
24/04/20262nd13/891%80%-0.11
11/06/20266th10/147%29%-0.19
01/08/20261st6/168%100%+0.32