3

Way Beyond

3yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 3 · OR 91

Keeneland · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Ellis Park 13/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS13/07C6C6 @ Kentucky Downs 07/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 62 · 6f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2025 · OR 62 par7/09C6OR 62C9 @ Churchill Downs 27/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 68 · 6f 119 · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 68 par27/09C9OR 68C6 @ Churchill Downs 01/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 74 par1/11C6OR 74C5 @ Remington Park 21/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 85 · 1m 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/12/2025 · OR 85 par21/12C5OR 85BHA84 @ Sunland Park 18/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 84 · 1m 122 · below its mark18/01/2026 · OR 84 par18/0184OR 84projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-18Sunland ParkBHA842nd3rd−1
2025-12-21Remington Park?5th1st+3
2025-11-01Churchill Downs?3rd1st+2
2025-09-27Churchill Downs?1st2nd−1
2025-09-07Kentucky Downs?5th3rd+2
2025-07-13Ellis Park?8th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/077/0927/091/1121/1218/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20258th5/174%13%-0.61
07/09/20255th20/10%60%+0.60
27/09/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
01/11/20253rd14/126%50%+0.24
21/12/20255th33/10%60%+0.60
18/01/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01