7
Belzoni
2yo Colt · 8-7 · Draw 7 · OR 85
Keeneland · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 15-15 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -89.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |