Biathlon

2yo Colt · 8-7 · Draw 8 · OR 83

Keeneland · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y

#14

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▬ NO MARK

Move▼1

Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.0

Today:

Class gap: +1.0

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-29	Kentucky Downs	?	6th	5th	+1	5.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 50/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength27%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
29/08/2026	6th	14/1	26%	38%	+0.11